Top horses maintain positions in NTRA Polls

Horseracing Betting Lines

05/24/2010 - New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Zenyatta and Lookin At Lucky each remain in first-place in their respective NTRA polls, Undefeated mare Zenyatta is the overwhelming selection in the national rankings and Lookin At Lucky is the undisputed leader among three-year-olds.

Owned by Jerry and Ann Moss, Zenyatta received all but one of the 17 first- place votes cast. She leads Quality Road, who got the other first-place vote, 169 points to 143. Quality Road is set to start in the Mel Mile on Memorial Day at Belmont Park.

Lookin At Lucky is third with 101 points with Misremembered holding onto fourth with 76 points.

Defending Horse of the Year Rachel Alexandra moves up one spot to fifth with 52 points and Blame has 50 points to advance from ninth to sixth.

Kentucky Oaks champ Blind Luck follows with 48 points while Kentucky Derby winner Super Saver is eighth with 39 points. Rail Trip is ninth with 36 points and Unrivaled Belle rounds out the top 10 with 34 points.

Preakness champ Lookin At Lucky picked up 14 of 17 first-place votes and 167 points to remain atop the NTRA Three-Year-Old Poll. Super Saver is second with two first-place votes and 142 points.

Ice Box, second in the Run for the Roses, is third with 130 points. He is expected to start in the Belmont Stakes on June 5.

Preakness runner-up First Dude, another Belmont Stakes probable, improves to fourth with 86 points, while Blind Luck drops one spot to fifth with 84 points.

Paddy O'Prado, third in the Kentucky Derby, jumps from eighth to sixth with 67 points. The retired Eskendereya continues to receive one first-place vote, but fell one spot to seventh with 49 points.

Jackson Bend, third in the Preakness, again received 48 points, but dropped one place to eighth.

Evening Jewel and Sidney's Candy exchanged positions in the latest tabulations. The filly Evening Jewel is ninth with 31 points, while Sidney's Candy drops to 10th with 28 points.

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Pacific-10 Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Stanford

Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.

Should be in:

Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.

Southeastern Conference odds
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State

It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.

Work left to do:

Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.

Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.

Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.

Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile.

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