Phillies use long ball vs. D'Backs to stay hot

Baseball Betting Lines

07/27/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ryan Howard finished 2-for-4 with a two- run homer, three RBI and two runs scored as Philadelphia rallied past Arizona, 9-5, in the opener of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park.

Cody Ransom and Jayson Werth also each hit two-run blasts for the Phillies, who set a season-high for consecutive wins with their sixth in a row and have also won nine straight at home.

David Herndon (1-2) gave up two runs and coughed up a lead during the sixth inning in relief of starter Cole Hamels but picked up his first major-league win.

Mark Reynolds homered and drove in a pair, while Adam LaRoche and Stephen Drew knocked in a run apiece for the Diamondbacks, who have dropped five in a row.

Jordan Norberto (0-1) took the loss after being charged with two runs and two hits while not recording an out.

Down 4-3, Arizona struck for two in the sixth off Herndon. A double, walk and Howard throwing error on a fielder's choice loaded the bases with nobody out before a LaRoche sacrifice fly tied the game. Miguel Montero followed with an RBI groundout before a Reynolds groundout ended the threat.

In the home sixth, the Phils responded when Raul Ibanez singled home Shane Victorino before Howard's two-run blast to left-center made it 7-5.

Danys Baez offered a scoreless top of the seventh. Carlos Ruiz singled, was sacrificed to second then scored on Ransom's long two-run shot for a four-run difference during the Phils' turn in the seventh.

Jose Contreras and Ryan Madson locked down the win by holding the D'Backs off the board in the eighth and ninth.

Arizona loaded the bases in the first on a single, walk and hit batter with two outs, and went up 1-0 when Reynolds drew a base on balls.

The Phils broke through in the third. Victorino singled, stole second, but was erased on a fielder's choice. Placido Polanco, who took first on the grounder, went to third on an Ibanez hit and scored on Howard's single. Werth walked to load the bases, and after a Greg Dobbs foul out, Ruiz walked to force in Ibanez.

Reynolds tied the game with a leadoff homer in the fourth, but Hamels left the sacks full by fanning Kelly Johnson swinging. Drew's RBI single put the D'Backs ahead 3-2 in the fifth, but they couldn't tack on more despite loading the bases again.

In the home half, Howard walked with one down and Werth put the Phils back on top with a homer to dead center.

Game Notes

Philadelphia's bats have jumped to life during the streak, scoring 36 times in six games...Werth's fifth-inning blast was his first in 30 games, dating back to June 23 against Cleveland...Phils shortstop Jimmy Rollins did not play due to a bruised left foot suffered on Monday when he fouled a pitch off the foot early in the game...Victorino left the game in the seventh inning with a left oblique strain and will be evaluated on Wednesday...Diamondbacks outfielder Justin Upton left the game in the sixth innings with right hip stiffness...Ibanez went 2-for-4 and scored twice.

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Betting Football

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.